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Trainee Research
  Prognostic Factors for Long-term Mortality Following Hospitalization for
Heart Failure: A Community-Based Perspective


 

J Kim, E Shahar, RV Luepker, D Jacobs, S Duval, C Barber, and K Margolis.
University of Minnesota

Prognostic factors for mortality in patients with diastolic dysfunction (DD) are ill defined and may differ from those with systolic dysfunction (SD). We studied a 50% random sample of 35-84 year old patients with an ICD9 428 discharge code from a Twin Cities area hospital in 1995 (N=4,593). Validated cases had both a physician diagnosis of HF and symptoms of HF on admission or during hospitalization (n=3,273). DD and SD were defined as clinical HF with normal (>40%) or reduced ( <40%) left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), respectively. Follow-up for mortality (n=1,681) through 1998 used a statewide death certificate registry. Adjusted hazard ratios (RR) were derived using Cox regression. There were 636, 248, and 797 deaths in the SD, DD, and missing LVEF groups, respectively. Significant predictors of mortality were duration of HF, gender, age, Charlson Comorbidity Index, BSA, SBP, heart rate, pulmonary congestion, peripheral edema, serum sodium or potassium, and ACE inhibitor, beta-blocker or intravenous inotropic therapy. Prognostic factors that differed between SD and DD are listed below (TABLE). We conclude that there are both overlapping and unique prognostic factors for long-term mortality between DD and SD patients.

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